Marathon Petroleum Valuation
| MPC Stock | USD 176.19 0.45 0.26% |
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Marathon Petroleum Corp secures a last-minute Real Value of $153.29 per share. The latest price of the firm is $176.19. Our model forecasts the value of Marathon Petroleum Corp from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.19, current valuation of 84.38 B, and Profit Margin of 0.02 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Marathon Petroleum's valuation include:
Price Book 3.0899 | Enterprise Value | Enterprise Value Ebitda 8.3253 | Price Sales 0.401 | Forward PE 10.9051 |
Overvalued
Today
Please note that Marathon Petroleum's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Marathon Petroleum Corp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Marathon Petroleum's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Marathon Petroleum is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Marathon Stock. However, Marathon Petroleum's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 176.19 | Real 153.29 | Target 194.83 | Hype 176.19 | Naive 167.04 |
The real value of Marathon Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Marathon Petroleum Corp Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Marathon Petroleum's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Marathon Petroleum's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Marathon Petroleum Corp helps investors to forecast how Marathon stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Marathon Petroleum more accurately as focusing exclusively on Marathon Petroleum's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Marathon Petroleum's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Marathon Petroleum's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Marathon Petroleum's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Marathon Petroleum we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.
Marathon Petroleum Cash |
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Marathon Revenue by Product
Marathon Petroleum Total Value Analysis
Marathon Petroleum Corp is now projected to have company total value of 84.38 B with market capitalization of 53.57 B, debt of 28.76 B, and cash on hands of 3.21 B. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Marathon Petroleum fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
84.38 B | 53.57 B | 28.76 B | 3.21 B |
Marathon Petroleum Investor Information
About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Marathon Petroleum was now reported as 56.8. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.98. Marathon Petroleum Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.43. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of November 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 11th of June 2015. Marathon Petroleum Corp may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average likelihood of going through some form of financial trouble next quarter.| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
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| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 6.2 B | 10 B |
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Marathon Petroleum Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Marathon Petroleum has an asset utilization ratio of 176.09 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $1.76 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Marathon Petroleum Corp is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.Marathon Petroleum Profitability Analysis
Taking into consideration Marathon Petroleum's profitability measurements, Marathon Petroleum's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average likelihood of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Marathon Petroleum's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.Net Income | First Reported 2009-09-30 | Previous Quarter 1.2 B | Current Value 1.4 B | Quarterly Volatility 1.9 B |
| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.12 | 0.0769 |
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For Marathon Petroleum profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Marathon Petroleum Corp to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Marathon Petroleum utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Marathon Petroleum's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Marathon Petroleum over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
Marathon Petroleum Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual
The next projected EPS of Marathon Petroleum is estimated to be 2.71 with future projections ranging from a low of 2.185 to a high of 2.4225. Marathon Petroleum's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 9.43. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Marathon Petroleum Corp is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Marathon Petroleum Earnings Estimation Breakdown
The calculation of Marathon Petroleum's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Marathon Petroleum is estimated to be 2.71 with the future projection ranging from a low of 2.185 to a high of 2.4225. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Marathon Petroleum Corp is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Last Reported EPS
2.19 Lowest | Expected EPS | 2.42 Highest |
Marathon Petroleum Earnings Projection Consensus
Suppose the current estimates of Marathon Petroleum's value are higher than the current market price of the Marathon Petroleum stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Marathon Petroleum is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Marathon Petroleum's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
| Number of Analysts | Historical Accuracy | Last Reported EPS | Estimated EPS for 31st of December 2025 | Current EPS (TTM) | |
| 19 | 70.09% | 3.01 | 2.71 | 9.43 |
Marathon Petroleum Ownership Allocation
Marathon Petroleum Corp maintains a total of 300.6 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Marathon Petroleum outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in Marathon Petroleum Corp to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Marathon Petroleum Corp. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Marathon Petroleum as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on February 1, 2020, Representative Bob Gibbs of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Marathon Petroleum Corp's common stock.Marathon Petroleum Profitability Analysis
The company reported the last year's revenue of 138.86 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 5.07 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 12.44 B.Marathon Petroleum Past Distributions to stockholders
| 10th of December 2025 | ||
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| 10th of December 2024 | ||
| 10th of September 2024 | ||
| 10th of June 2024 | ||
| 11th of March 2024 |
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Marathon Petroleum's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Marathon Petroleum and how it compares across the competition.
About Marathon Petroleum Valuation
The stock valuation mechanism determines Marathon Petroleum's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Marathon Petroleum. We calculate exposure to Marathon Petroleum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Marathon Petroleum's related companies.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Gross Profit | 10.7 B | 10.6 B | |
| Pretax Profit Margin | 0.04 | 0.03 | |
| Operating Profit Margin | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.08 | 0.12 |
A single share of Marathon Petroleum represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Marathon, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.
Marathon Petroleum Dividends Analysis For Valuation
At present, Marathon Petroleum's Dividend Payout Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. . At present, Marathon Petroleum's Retained Earnings Total Equity is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Earnings Yield is expected to grow to 0.07, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 12.55.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Dividends Paid | -1.3 B | -1.3 B | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.03 | 0.04 | |
| Dividend Payout Ratio | 0.39 | 0.41 | |
| Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio | 2.12 | 1.43 |
There are various types of dividends Marathon Petroleum can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Marathon shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Marathon Petroleum Corp directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Marathon pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Marathon Petroleum by the value of the dividends paid out.
Marathon Petroleum Growth Indicators
Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 341 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 1.412 | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 10.9051 |
Marathon Petroleum Current Valuation Indicators
Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Marathon Petroleum Corp and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Marathon we look at many different elements of the entity such as Marathon's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Marathon Petroleum, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Marathon Petroleum's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Marathon Petroleum's worth.Complementary Tools for Marathon Stock analysis
When running Marathon Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Marathon Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marathon Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Marathon Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marathon Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marathon Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marathon Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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